When will the Snow End?

When Will the Snow end the in Pine Belt?

The Snow is over for Forrest and Lamar Counties. The upper Level low over southern Alabama is moving toward the NNE, so the Snow, Sleet and Rain will end for the rest of Mississippi by 4 P.M. this Afternoon. There will be a few wet spots that might ice over over night but floks in the Forrest and Lamar County area are looking good.

Louis Smith
Weather Forecaster
www.hurricanecity.net



THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER
CAMP SPRINGS, MD

These Folks did a great job forecasting the Snow event in Mississippi.
Hat's Off to you Guy's!!!

PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICE DISCUSSION


COASTAL STORM IS DEVELOPING IN THE DEEP SOUTH AND WILL ACCELERATENORTH THROUGH THE ATLANTIC STATES TODAY BRINGING ITS INCREDIBLEFETCH OF GULF MOISTURE. COLD CANADIAN HIGH WILL START TO PULLNORTH AS WELL...AND THIS WILL END THE PUSH OF COLD AIR SOUTHWARD. 12Z IS ABOUT THE CUTOFF TIME FOR ANY MORE COLD AIR INTRUSION...SOAREAS CURRENTLY SEEING WINTER PTYPES SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEEIT...WHILE THOSE THAT ARE NOT WILL ONLY HAVE A LITTLE MORE TIME TOTRANSITION. 06Z OBS SHOW A COMPLEX AND DISCONTINUOUS BOUNDARYILLUMINATING THE DIFFICULT FORECAST. THE EASIER ASPECT ISELEVATION...SUCH THAT MOUNTAINS ABOVE 2000 FEET WILL SEE ALL SNOWSINCE THEY WILL BE ABOVE THE INVERSION...AND 1000 TO 2000 FEETSHOULD SEE FREEZING RAIN AT ONE POINT OR ANOTHER DURING THE STORMSINCE IT IS SUCH A COMPLEX THERMAL PROFILE. THE FORECAST USED ABLEND OF THE GFS/ECMWF QPF WITH NAM MIXED IN FOR THERMAL PROFILEIN DEPICTING A LARGE AREA OF FREEZING RAIN FROM THE BLUE RIDGE OFVIRGINIA NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CATSKILLS AND BERKSHIRES ONTHURSDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY SECOND ROUND OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSSSOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE WAVE MOVES INTOEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL...WITH FREEZINGRAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW FROM THE ALLEGHENY AND POCONOS...TO THECATSKILLS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND THE BERKSHIRES BY FRIDAYAFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FORM SNOWTHROUGHOUT THIS EVENT ACROSS THE GREEN/WHITE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERNNEW ENGLAND AND THE ADIRONDACKS...WHERE DAY D1/D2 SNOW TOTALS WILLLIKELY RANGE FROM 8-14 INCHES. ...SOUTHEAST...THE COASTAL STORM WILL ORIGINATE IN THE GULF THIS MORNING ANDDRIFT INTO THE MISS VALLEY TODAY WITH 4 TO 5 STD DEV MOISTURE FLUXWRAPPING INTO IT. TROWAL SIGNATURE IS PICKUP UP NICELY BYGFS/ECMWF WHICH ARE THE PREFERRED MODELS. THIS FEATURE WILLCREATE THE POTENTIAL SNOW AREA WEST OF THE LOW. WILL BE A FINEBALANCE OF TEMPERATURES VERSES RETAINED MOISTURE SINCE THE MODELSARE TRYING TO ACCELERATE THE MOISTURE AWAY FASTER...ABANDONING THECOLDER AIR. HAVE PLACED A SLIGHT RISK OF 4 INCHES INTO JACKSONSAREA WHERE DYNAMICAL COOLING WILL BE MAXIMIZED. THE COOL PRECIPBELT WILL SLIDE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY...ALTHOUGH ITWILL ENCOUNTER TEMPERATURES MORE CONDUCIVE TOACCUMULATION...ANOTHER TRADE OFF.